Global gold, silver production to achieve new highs in 2014
International gold mine supply continued to rise in 2013, achieving new highs of 96.7 Moz (over 4 per cent y-o-y), says the Gold and Silver Mining Focus 2014 report by Metals Focus, a precious metals consultancy.
Silver mine supply also rose in 2013, achieving a new high of 818.1 Moz (over five per cent y-o-y).
Both the precious metals continued to benefit from the ramp-up and start-up of projects conceived earlier.
For gold, significant growth emerged in China (the world’s largest producer), while there was significant gains in the Dominican Republic, Canada and Russia.
Silver production was boosted due to a number of additions in several of the world’s largest silver producing countries, including Peru, Mexico and China.
The gold mine supply is expected to again rise this year, however, post-2014 it appears uncertain, the report said.
“From 2015, gold production could enter a period of secular decline,” it added.
In contrast, silver supply is expected to be positive as further gains are expected until 2016, at least, albeit at a slower pace than in recent years.
Talking about prices, the report said that following a poor 2013, the beginning in this year suggests that attitudes towards gold and silver, among investors, have been shifting away from the one-sided selling to a more balanced perspective.
“We see 2014 as a year broadly of consolidation for gold and silver. We believe the high for the year is already behind us, while on the downside, further price weakness from current levels is possible,” it said.
For gold, therefore, a brief drop to around USD 1,100 could not be ruled out, the report said.